Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Super League
Iran · Super League - Semi-finals
Mahram TehranHOME · -
84 : 892024.05.05 · 종료
Shahrdari GorganAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME38.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+61.5%
VALUE EDGE+61.5%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEA
Mahram TehranAnalysis MetricsShahrdari Gorgan
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-0.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.25
164.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
176.08
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
13.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.4 / 15
Prediction separation9.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mahram Tehran
L · 76-70L · 84-59W · 74-80L · 92-79W · 88-71
Shahrdari Gorgan
W · 95-85L · 95-60W · 76-70W · 84-59W · 73-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.05.05 | Mahram Tehran | 84 : 89 | Shahrdari Gorgan |
| 2024.04.21 | Shahrdari Gorgan | 76 : 70 | Mahram Tehran |
| 2024.04.19 | Shahrdari Gorgan | 84 : 59 | Mahram Tehran |
| 2024.01.22 | Shahrdari Gorgan | 100 : 78 | Mahram Tehran |
| 2023.11.20 | Mahram Tehran | 81 : 84 | Shahrdari Gorgan |
| 2022.12.18 | Mahram Tehran | 88 : 92 | Shahrdari Gorgan |
| 2022.10.10 | Shahrdari Gorgan | 82 : 98 | Mahram Tehran |