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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Iran · Super League - Quarter-finals
Mes KermanHOME · -
92 : 792024.04.13 · 종료
Mahram TehranAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME44.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.9% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +55.5%
VALUE EDGE+55.5%
FAIR ODDS1.80
GRADEA
Mes KermanAnalysis MetricsMahram Tehran
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+0.08 Point MarginHigher is better +0.17
152.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.17
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
3.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation4.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
44.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
55.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mes Kerman
L · 88-71W · 96-82L · 74-64W · 77-66W · 75-79
Mahram Tehran
W · 88-71W · 91-87W · 83-90W · 73-68W · 80-79

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.15Mes Kerman74 : 80Mahram Tehran
2024.04.13Mes Kerman92 : 79Mahram Tehran
2024.04.08Mahram Tehran88 : 71Mes Kerman
2023.12.28Mes Kerman82 : 89Mahram Tehran
2023.03.12Mahram Tehran95 : 70Mes Kerman
2023.02.09Mes Kerman80 : 75Mahram Tehran
2023.01.09Mahram Tehran91 : 98Mes Kerman
2022.11.21Mes Kerman90 : 89Mahram Tehran
2022.03.13Mahram Tehran106 : 58Mes Kerman
2022.03.03Mes Kerman71 : 79Mahram Tehran