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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Iran · 21
AvertaHOME · -
75 : 872024.03.07 · 종료
Shahrdari GorganAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME18.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY81.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 84.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +81.7%
VALUE EDGE+81.7%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADEA
AvertaAnalysis MetricsShahrdari Gorgan
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-4.92 Point MarginHigher is better +2.25
162.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 176.08
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
18.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
81.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Averta
L · 91-71L · 74-81L · 86-94L · 90-71L · 85-83
Shahrdari Gorgan
W · 96-89W · 67-101W · 74-82W · 97-67W · 65-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.07Averta75 : 87Shahrdari Gorgan
2023.12.29Shahrdari Gorgan87 : 73Averta