Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Super League
Iran · 11
AvertaHOME · -
81 : 792023.12.25 · 종료
Mes KermanAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.2%
VALUE EDGE+57.2%
FAIR ODDS1.75
GRADEA
AvertaAnalysis MetricsMes Kerman
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-6.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.08
162.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.92
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
11.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.7 / 15
Prediction separation6.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Averta
W · 99-97W · 68-74L · 84-90W · 78-74L · 84-77
Mes Kerman
W · 75-72W · 79-87W · 70-47W · 71-78W · 80-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.11 | Mes Kerman | 96 : 82 | Averta |
| 2023.12.25 | Averta | 81 : 79 | Mes Kerman |