Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Super League
Iran · 9

Palayesh Naft AbadanHOME · -
89 : 982023.12.14 · 종료
Mahram TehranAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME51.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+51.7%
VALUE EDGE+51.7%
FAIR ODDS1.93
GRADEA
Palayesh Naft AbadanAnalysis MetricsMahram Tehran
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+0.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.17
160.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.00
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation1.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Palayesh Naft Abadan
L · 71-78L · 111-73W · 79-75W · 78-80W · 68-60
Mahram Tehran
L · 78-63W · 89-86L · 81-84W · 85-96L · 77-79
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.03 | Mahram Tehran | 73 : 68 | Palayesh Naft Abadan |
| 2023.12.14 | Palayesh Naft Abadan | 89 : 98 | Mahram Tehran |
| 2023.04.22 | Palayesh Naft Abadan | 78 : 82 | Mahram Tehran |
| 2023.04.21 | Mahram Tehran | 71 : 72 | Palayesh Naft Abadan |
| 2023.04.17 | Mahram Tehran | 99 : 89 | Palayesh Naft Abadan |
| 2023.04.15 | Palayesh Naft Abadan | 100 : 92 | Mahram Tehran |
| 2022.12.05 | Palayesh Naft Abadan | 79 : 64 | Mahram Tehran |