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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Iran · 8
Mes KermanHOME · -
70 : 472023.12.07 · 종료
Padafan RaadAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME76.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 77.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +76.4%
VALUE EDGE+76.4%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEA
Mes KermanAnalysis MetricsPadafan Raad
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
+1.08 Point MarginHigher is better -23.67
153.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.33
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
76.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
23.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mes Kerman
W · 71-78W · 80-81L · 71-64L · 74-84L · 62-78
Padafan Raad
L · 59-121L · 83-71L · 74-115L · 83-80L · 83-62

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.02.12Padafan Raad75 : 79Mes Kerman
2023.12.07Mes Kerman70 : 47Padafan Raad
2022.12.12Mes Kerman90 : 71Padafan Raad
2022.10.03Padafan Raad72 : 76Mes Kerman