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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Iran · 5
Mahram TehranHOME · -
81 : 842023.11.20 · 종료
Shahrdari GorganAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK HOME 52.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +55.6%
VALUE EDGE+55.6%
FAIR ODDS1.80
GRADEA
Mahram TehranAnalysis MetricsShahrdari Gorgan
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-2.17 Point MarginHigher is better +2.25
162.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 176.08
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.7일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.9 / 15
Prediction separation4.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
55.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
44.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mahram Tehran
W · 85-96L · 77-79W · 84-100W · 76-64W · 78-82
Shahrdari Gorgan
W · 74-86L · 85-92W · 74-84W · 91-70W · 81-65

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.05.05Mahram Tehran84 : 89Shahrdari Gorgan
2024.04.21Shahrdari Gorgan76 : 70Mahram Tehran
2024.04.19Shahrdari Gorgan84 : 59Mahram Tehran
2024.01.22Shahrdari Gorgan100 : 78Mahram Tehran
2023.11.20Mahram Tehran81 : 84Shahrdari Gorgan
2022.12.18Mahram Tehran88 : 92Shahrdari Gorgan
2022.10.10Shahrdari Gorgan82 : 98Mahram Tehran