Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Super League
Iran · Super League - Semi-finals
Palayesh Naft AbadanHOME · -
95 : 922023.05.05 · 종료
Shahrdari GorganAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME29.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY70.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+70.3%
VALUE EDGE+70.3%
FAIR ODDS1.42
GRADEA
Palayesh Naft AbadanAnalysis MetricsShahrdari Gorgan
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+0.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.25
160.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
176.08
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Palayesh Naft Abadan
L · 93-81L · 78-82W · 71-72L · 99-89W · 100-92
Shahrdari Gorgan
W · 93-81W · 81-86W · 91-72W · 81-93W · 75-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.27 | Palayesh Naft Abadan | 92 : 83 | Shahrdari Gorgan |
| 2023.11.24 | Shahrdari Gorgan | 111 : 73 | Palayesh Naft Abadan |
| 2023.05.14 | Shahrdari Gorgan | 79 : 67 | Palayesh Naft Abadan |
| 2023.05.05 | Palayesh Naft Abadan | 95 : 92 | Shahrdari Gorgan |
| 2023.05.01 | Shahrdari Gorgan | 93 : 81 | Palayesh Naft Abadan |
| 2023.03.08 | Palayesh Naft Abadan | 79 : 85 | Shahrdari Gorgan |
| 2023.02.06 | Shahrdari Gorgan | 76 : 71 | Palayesh Naft Abadan |
| 2023.01.23 | Shahrdari Gorgan | 88 : 83 | Palayesh Naft Abadan |
| 2022.11.28 | Palayesh Naft Abadan | 78 : 91 | Shahrdari Gorgan |
| 2022.01.02 | Palayesh Naft Abadan | 66 : 91 | Shahrdari Gorgan |