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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Iran · Super League - Quarter-finals
Mes KermanHOME · -
75 : 902023.04.24 · 종료
Zob AhanAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 57.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +61.1%
VALUE EDGE+61.1%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEA
Mes KermanAnalysis MetricsZob Ahan
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+1.08 Point MarginHigher is better -0.42
153.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 160.92
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation9.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
61.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
38.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mes Kerman
L · 84-77L · 61-56L · 95-70W · 77-72W · 89-56
Zob Ahan
L · 91-72W · 84-77W · 95-83L · 90-82L · 86-82

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.01.18Mes Kerman68 : 71Zob Ahan
2023.11.13Zob Ahan71 : 64Mes Kerman
2023.04.24Mes Kerman75 : 90Zob Ahan
2023.04.16Zob Ahan84 : 77Mes Kerman
2022.12.19Mes Kerman51 : 63Zob Ahan
2022.10.10Zob Ahan71 : 59Mes Kerman
2022.01.07Mes Kerman68 : 78Zob Ahan
2021.10.19Zob Ahan70 : 53Mes Kerman