Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Super League
Iran · Super League - Quarter-finals
Palayesh Naft AbadanHOME · -
78 : 822023.04.22 · 종료
Mahram TehranAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.9%
VALUE EDGE+57.9%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADEA
Palayesh Naft AbadanAnalysis MetricsMahram Tehran
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+0.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.17
160.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.00
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation6.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Palayesh Naft Abadan
W · 71-72L · 99-89W · 100-92L · 85-88L · 83-77
Mahram Tehran
L · 71-72W · 99-89L · 100-92W · 81-86W · 95-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.03 | Mahram Tehran | 73 : 68 | Palayesh Naft Abadan |
| 2023.12.14 | Palayesh Naft Abadan | 89 : 98 | Mahram Tehran |
| 2023.04.22 | Palayesh Naft Abadan | 78 : 82 | Mahram Tehran |
| 2023.04.21 | Mahram Tehran | 71 : 72 | Palayesh Naft Abadan |
| 2023.04.17 | Mahram Tehran | 99 : 89 | Palayesh Naft Abadan |
| 2023.04.15 | Palayesh Naft Abadan | 100 : 92 | Mahram Tehran |
| 2022.12.05 | Palayesh Naft Abadan | 79 : 64 | Mahram Tehran |