Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Super League
Iran · Super League - Quarter-finals
Mahram TehranHOME · -
71 : 722023.04.21 · 종료
Palayesh Naft AbadanAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.0%
VALUE EDGE+61.0%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEA
Mahram TehranAnalysis MetricsPalayesh Naft Abadan
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-2.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.83
162.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.50
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation9.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mahram Tehran
W · 99-89L · 100-92W · 81-86W · 95-70L · 89-85
Palayesh Naft Abadan
L · 99-89W · 100-92L · 85-88L · 83-77L · 79-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.03 | Mahram Tehran | 73 : 68 | Palayesh Naft Abadan |
| 2023.12.14 | Palayesh Naft Abadan | 89 : 98 | Mahram Tehran |
| 2023.04.22 | Palayesh Naft Abadan | 78 : 82 | Mahram Tehran |
| 2023.04.21 | Mahram Tehran | 71 : 72 | Palayesh Naft Abadan |
| 2023.04.17 | Mahram Tehran | 99 : 89 | Palayesh Naft Abadan |
| 2023.04.15 | Palayesh Naft Abadan | 100 : 92 | Mahram Tehran |
| 2022.12.05 | Palayesh Naft Abadan | 79 : 64 | Mahram Tehran |