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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Iran · Super League - Quarter-finals
Mahram TehranHOME · -
99 : 892023.04.17 · 종료
Palayesh Naft AbadanAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +55.6%
VALUE EDGE+55.6%
FAIR ODDS1.80
GRADEA
Mahram TehranAnalysis MetricsPalayesh Naft Abadan
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-2.17 Point MarginHigher is better +0.83
162.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 160.50
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation4.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
55.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
44.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mahram Tehran
L · 100-92W · 81-86W · 95-70L · 89-85L · 74-83
Palayesh Naft Abadan
W · 100-92L · 85-88L · 83-77L · 79-85L · 79-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.03Mahram Tehran73 : 68Palayesh Naft Abadan
2023.12.14Palayesh Naft Abadan89 : 98Mahram Tehran
2023.04.22Palayesh Naft Abadan78 : 82Mahram Tehran
2023.04.21Mahram Tehran71 : 72Palayesh Naft Abadan
2023.04.17Mahram Tehran99 : 89Palayesh Naft Abadan
2023.04.15Palayesh Naft Abadan100 : 92Mahram Tehran
2022.12.05Palayesh Naft Abadan79 : 64Mahram Tehran