Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Super League Iran · Super League - Quarter-finals

Nobogh ArakHOME · -

74 : 702023.04.15 · 종료

KallehAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY60.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +60.6%

VALUE EDGE+60.6%

FAIR ODDS1.65

GRADEA

Nobogh ArakAnalysis MetricsKalleh

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-5.25 Point MarginHigher is better +10.00

141.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 168.33

83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.9 / 15

Prediction separation9.1 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

39.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

60.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Nobogh Arak

L · 102-95L · 86-67W · 61-56W · 89-85L · 89-56

Kalleh

W · 102-95W · 86-67W · 85-88L · 94-104W · 100-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.17	Nobogh Arak	62 : 74	Kalleh
2023.04.15	Nobogh Arak	74 : 70	Kalleh
2023.04.09	Kalleh	102 : 95	Nobogh Arak
2023.04.07	Kalleh	86 : 67	Nobogh Arak
2022.12.12	Nobogh Arak	60 : 69	Kalleh
2022.10.03	Kalleh	88 : 77	Nobogh Arak