Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Super League Iran

Nobogh ArakHOME · -

61 : 562023.03.16 · 종료

Mes KermanAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY45.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +54.6%

VALUE EDGE+54.6%

FAIR ODDS1.83

GRADEB

Nobogh ArakAnalysis MetricsMes Kerman

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-5.33 Point MarginHigher is better +1.08

143.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 153.92

83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%

4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement9.4 / 15

Prediction separation3.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

54.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

45.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Nobogh Arak

W · 89-85L · 89-56W · 64-60L · 65-64L · 65-57

Mes Kerman

L · 95-70W · 77-72W · 89-56W · 80-75W · 82-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.03.16	Nobogh Arak	61 : 56	Mes Kerman
2023.03.04	Mes Kerman	89 : 56	Nobogh Arak
2023.01.26	Nobogh Arak	64 : 52	Mes Kerman
2022.12.01	Mes Kerman	60 : 69	Nobogh Arak