Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Super League
Iran
Nobogh ArakHOME · -
89 : 852023.03.08 · 종료
Mahram TehranAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.7%
VALUE EDGE+60.7%
FAIR ODDS1.65
GRADEA
Nobogh ArakAnalysis MetricsMahram Tehran
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-5.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.17
138.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.00
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation9.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nobogh Arak
L · 89-56W · 64-60L · 65-64L · 65-57W · 64-52
Mahram Tehran
L · 74-83L · 80-75W · 65-64L · 84-73W · 79-63
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.08 | Nobogh Arak | 89 : 85 | Mahram Tehran |
| 2023.02.06 | Mahram Tehran | 65 : 64 | Nobogh Arak |
| 2023.01.23 | Mahram Tehran | 79 : 63 | Nobogh Arak |
| 2022.11.28 | Nobogh Arak | 83 : 98 | Mahram Tehran |