Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Super League Iran

Mes KermanHOME · -

89 : 562023.03.04 · 종료

Nobogh ArakAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY43.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +56.5%

VALUE EDGE+56.5%

FAIR ODDS1.77

GRADEA

Mes KermanAnalysis MetricsNobogh Arak

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

+1.08 Point MarginHigher is better -2.17

153.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 141.17

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.4 / 15

Prediction separation5.6 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

56.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

43.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mes Kerman

W · 80-75W · 82-88W · 65-64L · 64-52W · 80-74

Nobogh Arak

W · 64-60L · 65-64L · 65-57W · 64-52L · 79-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.03.16	Nobogh Arak	61 : 56	Mes Kerman
2023.03.04	Mes Kerman	89 : 56	Nobogh Arak
2023.01.26	Nobogh Arak	64 : 52	Mes Kerman
2022.12.01	Mes Kerman	60 : 69	Nobogh Arak