Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Super League Iran · 20

Mahram TehranHOME · -

79 : 632023.01.23 · 종료

Nobogh ArakAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME60.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY39.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +60.8%

VALUE EDGE+60.8%

FAIR ODDS1.64

GRADEA

Mahram TehranAnalysis MetricsNobogh Arak

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-2.17 Point MarginHigher is better -3.58

162.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 141.42

80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.5 / 15

Prediction separation9.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

60.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

39.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mahram Tehran

W · 87-96L · 91-98W · 92-69W · 71-80L · 88-92

Nobogh Arak

W · 74-66L · 93-58L · 62-64W · 57-62W · 86-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.03.08	Nobogh Arak	89 : 85	Mahram Tehran
2023.02.06	Mahram Tehran	65 : 64	Nobogh Arak
2023.01.23	Mahram Tehran	79 : 63	Nobogh Arak
2022.11.28	Nobogh Arak	83 : 98	Mahram Tehran