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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Iran · 18
Shahrdari GorganHOME · -
93 : 582023.01.09 · 종료
Nobogh ArakAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 73.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +72.0%
VALUE EDGE+72.0%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEA
Shahrdari GorganAnalysis MetricsNobogh Arak
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+2.25 Point MarginHigher is better -5.58
176.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 141.58
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
72.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Shahrdari Gorgan
W · 110-69W · 66-86W · 83-78W · 94-77L · 81-74
Nobogh Arak
L · 62-64W · 57-62W · 86-69L · 70-63L · 60-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.01.09Shahrdari Gorgan93 : 58Nobogh Arak
2022.11.21Nobogh Arak61 : 86Shahrdari Gorgan