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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Iran · 16
Mes RafsanjanHOME · -
57 : 622022.12.26 · 종료
Nobogh ArakAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +60.1%
VALUE EDGE+60.1%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEA
Mes RafsanjanAnalysis MetricsNobogh Arak
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-8.83 Point MarginHigher is better -5.58
154.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 141.58
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation8.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
39.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
60.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mes Rafsanjan
L · 71-63L · 60-68W · 79-81W · 74-62L · 73-91
Nobogh Arak
W · 86-69L · 70-63L · 60-69L · 52-54W · 73-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.12.26Mes Rafsanjan57 : 62Nobogh Arak
2022.10.13Nobogh Arak73 : 65Mes Rafsanjan