Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Super League
Iran · 14
Palayesh Naft AbadanHOME · -
70 : 632022.12.15 · 종료
Nobogh ArakAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME47.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+52.6%
VALUE EDGE+52.6%
FAIR ODDS1.90
GRADEA
Palayesh Naft AbadanAnalysis MetricsNobogh Arak
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+0.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.58
160.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
141.58
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.0 / 15
Prediction separation2.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Palayesh Naft Abadan
L · 82-81W · 89-81W · 79-64W · 67-82L · 78-91
Nobogh Arak
L · 60-69L · 52-54W · 73-63W · 60-69L · 83-98
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.12.15 | Palayesh Naft Abadan | 70 : 63 | Nobogh Arak |
| 2022.10.06 | Nobogh Arak | 77 : 76 | Palayesh Naft Abadan |