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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Iran · 11
Mes RafsanjanHOME · -
73 : 912022.12.05 · 종료
Shahrdari GorganAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME17.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY82.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK AWAY 84.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +82.3%
VALUE EDGE+82.3%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADES
Mes RafsanjanAnalysis MetricsShahrdari Gorgan
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-8.83 Point MarginHigher is better +2.25
154.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 176.08
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
17.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
82.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mes Rafsanjan
L · 85-64W · 70-61L · 68-78L · 84-78L · 59-73
Shahrdari Gorgan
W · 102-71W · 78-91W · 111-103W · 61-86W · 85-56

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.02.10Mes Rafsanjan74 : 82Shahrdari Gorgan
2023.12.07Shahrdari Gorgan108 : 74Mes Rafsanjan
2023.01.30Shahrdari Gorgan20 : 0Mes Rafsanjan
2022.12.05Mes Rafsanjan73 : 91Shahrdari Gorgan
2022.03.29Mes Rafsanjan73 : 77Shahrdari Gorgan
2022.03.27Shahrdari Gorgan75 : 66Mes Rafsanjan
2022.03.06Mes Rafsanjan73 : 77Shahrdari Gorgan
2022.01.20Shahrdari Gorgan78 : 69Mes Rafsanjan