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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Iran · 10
Mes KermanHOME · -
60 : 692022.12.01 · 종료
Nobogh ArakAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME49.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +50.1%
VALUE EDGE+50.1%
FAIR ODDS2.00
GRADEA
Mes KermanAnalysis MetricsNobogh Arak
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+1.08 Point MarginHigher is better -5.58
153.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 141.58
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.2 / 15
Prediction separation0.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
49.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
50.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mes Kerman
L · 85-66W · 57-63W · 90-89W · 50-63L · 43-64
Nobogh Arak
L · 83-98W · 53-71L · 61-86W · 73-65W · 68-79

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.16Nobogh Arak61 : 56Mes Kerman
2023.03.04Mes Kerman89 : 56Nobogh Arak
2023.01.26Nobogh Arak64 : 52Mes Kerman
2022.12.01Mes Kerman60 : 69Nobogh Arak