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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Iran · 7
Palayesh Naft AbadanHOME · -
84 : 782022.11.21 · 종료
Mes RafsanjanAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME46.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +53.9%
VALUE EDGE+53.9%
FAIR ODDS1.86
GRADEA
Palayesh Naft AbadanAnalysis MetricsMes Rafsanjan
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+0.83 Point MarginHigher is better -8.83
160.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 154.83
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.9 / 15
Prediction separation3.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
46.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
53.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Palayesh Naft Abadan
W · 65-77L · 67-72L · 84-78L · 77-76W · 79-70
Mes Rafsanjan
L · 59-73L · 73-65W · 74-62L · 51-50L · 55-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.12.30Mes Rafsanjan82 : 85Palayesh Naft Abadan
2023.10.26Palayesh Naft Abadan92 : 91Mes Rafsanjan
2023.01.10Mes Rafsanjan62 : 74Palayesh Naft Abadan
2022.11.21Palayesh Naft Abadan84 : 78Mes Rafsanjan
2022.03.19Mes Rafsanjan87 : 73Palayesh Naft Abadan
2022.03.17Palayesh Naft Abadan88 : 90Mes Rafsanjan
2022.03.15Mes Rafsanjan73 : 83Palayesh Naft Abadan