Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Super League
Iran · 7
Nobogh ArakHOME · -
61 : 862022.11.21 · 종료
Shahrdari GorganAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME27.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY72.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+72.3%
VALUE EDGE+72.3%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEA
Nobogh ArakAnalysis MetricsShahrdari Gorgan
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-5.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.25
141.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
176.08
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nobogh Arak
W · 73-65W · 68-79W · 77-76L · 88-77L · 70-68
Shahrdari Gorgan
W · 85-56W · 43-64L · 82-98W · 65-87W · 71-66
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.01.09 | Shahrdari Gorgan | 93 : 58 | Nobogh Arak |
| 2022.11.21 | Nobogh Arak | 61 : 86 | Shahrdari Gorgan |