Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Super League
Iran · 5
Nobogh ArakHOME · -
73 : 652022.10.13 · 종료
Mes RafsanjanAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.0%
VALUE EDGE+57.0%
FAIR ODDS1.75
GRADEA
Nobogh ArakAnalysis MetricsMes Rafsanjan
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-5.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.83
141.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
154.83
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation6.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nobogh Arak
W · 68-79W · 77-76L · 88-77L · 70-68
Mes Rafsanjan
W · 74-62L · 51-50L · 55-70L · 70-67L · 73-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.12.26 | Mes Rafsanjan | 57 : 62 | Nobogh Arak |
| 2022.10.13 | Nobogh Arak | 73 : 65 | Mes Rafsanjan |