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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Iran · 3
Nobogh ArakHOME · -
77 : 762022.10.06 · 종료
Palayesh Naft AbadanAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +54.5%
VALUE EDGE+54.5%
FAIR ODDS1.84
GRADEB
Nobogh ArakAnalysis MetricsPalayesh Naft Abadan
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-5.58 Point MarginHigher is better +0.83
141.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 160.50
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.2 / 15
Prediction separation3.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
54.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
45.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nobogh Arak
L · 88-77L · 70-68
Palayesh Naft Abadan
W · 79-70W · 61-71L · 87-73L · 88-90W · 73-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.12.15Palayesh Naft Abadan70 : 63Nobogh Arak
2022.10.06Nobogh Arak77 : 76Palayesh Naft Abadan