Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
IBL
Indonesia
SurabayaHOME · -
78 : 582016.02.06 · 종료
Satya WacanaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME20.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY79.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+79.8%
VALUE EDGE+79.8%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEA
SurabayaAnalysis MetricsSatya Wacana
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-1.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-12.00
138.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
155.67
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Surabaya
L · 75-47L · 34-81L · 45-90L · 74-38L · 38-62
Satya Wacana
L · 54-73L · 74-91W · 73-54W · 70-65L · 67-53
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018.02.24 | Surabaya | 88 : 82 | Satya Wacana |
| 2017.12.23 | Satya Wacana | 68 : 84 | Surabaya |
| 2017.12.17 | Satya Wacana | 74 : 86 | Surabaya |
| 2016.04.02 | Surabaya | 71 : 74 | Satya Wacana |
| 2016.02.06 | Surabaya | 78 : 58 | Satya Wacana |
| 2016.01.11 | Surabaya | 35 : 54 | Satya Wacana |