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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League W Iceland · Premier League Women - Semi-finals
Keflavik WHOME · -
81 : 762024.05.14 · 종료
Stjarnan WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME86.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY13.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 89.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +86.3%
VALUE EDGE+86.3%
FAIR ODDS1.16
GRADEA
Keflavik WAnalysis MetricsStjarnan W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-2.17 Point MarginHigher is better +1.00
161.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.17
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
4.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
86.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
13.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Keflavik W
L · 86-79W · 87-78L · 85-82W · 93-65W · 88-72
Stjarnan W
W · 86-79L · 87-78W · 85-82L · 93-65W · 73-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.28Keflavik W72 : 92Stjarnan W
2026.03.26Keflavik W90 : 57Stjarnan W
2026.01.14Keflavik W78 : 92Stjarnan W
2025.10.30Stjarnan W78 : 73Keflavik W
2024.05.14Keflavik W81 : 76Stjarnan W
2024.05.10Stjarnan W86 : 79Keflavik W
2024.05.06Keflavik W87 : 78Stjarnan W
2024.05.02Stjarnan W85 : 82Keflavik W
2024.04.28Keflavik W93 : 65Stjarnan W
2024.03.10Keflavik W77 : 56Stjarnan W