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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League W Iceland · 6
Thor AK Akureyri WHOME · -
77 : 832024.04.04 · 종료
Valur WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME45.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +54.4%
VALUE EDGE+54.4%
FAIR ODDS1.84
GRADEA
Thor AK Akureyri WAnalysis MetricsValur W
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-4.33 Point MarginHigher is better -3.00
163.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 147.33
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation3.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
45.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
54.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Thor AK Akureyri W
W · 65-88W · 84-72L · 90-84L · 70-79W · 53-76
Valur W
W · 41-92L · 78-81W · 90-84W · 69-57W · 54-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.04Thor AK Akureyri W77 : 83Valur W
2024.02.28Valur W90 : 84Thor AK Akureyri W
2023.12.13Thor AK Akureyri W77 : 71Valur W
2023.10.12Valur W75 : 73Thor AK Akureyri W