Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Premier League W Iceland · 4

Valur WHOME · -

78 : 812024.03.13 · 종료

Fjolnir WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME63.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY36.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 57.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +63.4%

VALUE EDGE+63.4%

FAIR ODDS1.58

GRADEA

Valur WAnalysis MetricsFjolnir W

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-3.00 Point MarginHigher is better -19.58

147.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.75

25.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.9 / 15

Prediction separation11.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

63.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

36.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Valur W

W · 90-84W · 69-57W · 54-87L · 79-67W · 79-77

Fjolnir W

W · 57-78W · 70-79L · 54-87L · 58-52L · 85-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.03.13	Valur W	78 : 81	Fjolnir W
2024.02.07	Fjolnir W	54 : 87	Valur W
2024.01.11	Fjolnir W	75 : 80	Valur W
2023.10.25	Valur W	73 : 69	Fjolnir W