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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League W Iceland · 17
Valur WHOME · -
79 : 772024.01.25 · 종료
Keflavik WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME18.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY81.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 84.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +81.5%
VALUE EDGE+81.5%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADEA
Valur WAnalysis MetricsKeflavik W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-3.00 Point MarginHigher is better -2.17
147.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.67
25.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
18.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
81.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Valur W
L · 58-62W · 75-80L · 63-74L · 77-71L · 72-93
Keflavik W
W · 86-68W · 67-87W · 66-59W · 54-89W · 85-31

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.03Valur W87 : 70Keflavik W
2025.12.03Valur W92 : 95Keflavik W
2025.10.02Keflavik W79 : 88Valur W
2024.01.25Valur W79 : 77Keflavik W
2023.11.20Keflavik W70 : 50Valur W