Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Premier League W Iceland · 15

Fjolnir WHOME · -

75 : 802024.01.11 · 종료

Valur WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME37.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY62.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.6% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +62.4%

VALUE EDGE+62.4%

FAIR ODDS1.60

GRADEA

Fjolnir WAnalysis MetricsValur W

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-19.58 Point MarginHigher is better -3.00

169.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 147.33

25.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.3 / 15

Prediction separation10.6 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

37.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

62.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Fjolnir W

L · 85-82L · 54-89L · 66-72L · 85-75L · 76-81

Valur W

L · 63-74L · 77-71L · 72-93L · 71-68W · 64-43

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.03.13	Valur W	78 : 81	Fjolnir W
2024.02.07	Fjolnir W	54 : 87	Valur W
2024.01.11	Fjolnir W	75 : 80	Valur W
2023.10.25	Valur W	73 : 69	Fjolnir W