Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Premier League W Iceland · 14

Valur WHOME · -

63 : 742024.01.04 · 종료

Stjarnan WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME45.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY54.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +54.2%

VALUE EDGE+54.2%

FAIR ODDS1.84

GRADEA

Valur WAnalysis MetricsStjarnan W

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-3.00 Point MarginHigher is better +1.00

147.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.17

25.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.9 / 15

Prediction separation3.6 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

45.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

54.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Valur W

L · 77-71L · 72-93L · 71-68W · 64-43L · 53-75

Stjarnan W

W · 92-72W · 66-72L · 61-89W · 94-88W · 89-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.02.18	Valur W	78 : 69	Stjarnan W
2025.11.27	Stjarnan W	68 : 88	Valur W
2024.01.04	Valur W	63 : 74	Stjarnan W
2023.10.18	Stjarnan W	71 : 76	Valur W