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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League W Iceland · 10
Stjarnan WHOME · -
94 : 882023.11.29 · 종료
Thor AK Akureyri WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 72.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.5%
VALUE EDGE+71.5%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEA
Stjarnan WAnalysis MetricsThor AK Akureyri W
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+1.00 Point MarginHigher is better -2.42
166.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.42
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Stjarnan W
W · 89-80W · 77-75W · 85-56L · 71-76W · 68-74
Thor AK Akureyri W
W · 87-83L · 93-63W · 74-69W · 71-92L · 65-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.11.29Stjarnan W94 : 88Thor AK Akureyri W
2023.09.27Thor AK Akureyri W67 : 58Stjarnan W