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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League W Iceland · 9
Valur WHOME · -
53 : 752023.11.23 · 종료
Njardvik WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME24.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY75.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 77.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +75.2%
VALUE EDGE+75.2%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADEA
Valur WAnalysis MetricsNjardvik W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
-3.00 Point MarginHigher is better +9.42
147.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.25
25.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
24.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
75.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Valur W
L · 70-50W · 55-75W · 73-69W · 71-76W · 75-73
Njardvik W
W · 108-46W · 61-76W · 65-78W · 60-56W · 49-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.01Valur W77 : 64Njardvik W
2026.03.26Njardvik W87 : 61Valur W
2025.12.11Njardvik W94 : 90Valur W
2025.10.08Valur W77 : 80Njardvik W
2024.04.20Valur W67 : 82Njardvik W
2024.04.17Njardvik W92 : 59Valur W
2024.04.13Valur W80 : 77Njardvik W
2024.04.09Njardvik W96 : 58Valur W
2024.02.01Njardvik W79 : 67Valur W
2023.11.23Valur W53 : 75Njardvik W