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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League W Iceland · 9
Stjarnan WHOME · -
89 : 802023.11.22 · 종료
Grindavik WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME34.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY65.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK AWAY 68.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +65.1%
VALUE EDGE+65.1%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
Stjarnan WAnalysis MetricsGrindavik W
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
+1.00 Point MarginHigher is better +11.67
166.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.83
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 75.0%
3.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation12.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
34.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
65.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Stjarnan W
W · 77-75W · 85-56L · 71-76W · 68-74W · 88-70
Grindavik W
W · 93-63L · 78-80W · 71-84W · 102-70L · 60-56

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.01.07Stjarnan W83 : 99Grindavik W
2025.10.22Grindavik W79 : 66Stjarnan W
2024.04.04Stjarnan W73 : 77Grindavik W
2024.02.29Grindavik W94 : 78Stjarnan W
2024.01.31Grindavik W80 : 72Stjarnan W
2023.11.22Stjarnan W89 : 80Grindavik W