Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Premier League W Iceland · 5

Stjarnan WHOME · -

71 : 762023.10.18 · 종료

Valur WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY38.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +61.5%

VALUE EDGE+61.5%

FAIR ODDS1.63

GRADEA

Stjarnan WAnalysis MetricsValur W

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

+1.00 Point MarginHigher is better -3.00

166.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 147.33

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.2 / 15

Prediction separation9.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

61.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

38.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Stjarnan W

W · 68-74W · 88-70L · 84-58L · 67-58

Valur W

W · 75-73L · 91-83L · 61-67W · 58-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.02.18	Valur W	78 : 69	Stjarnan W
2025.11.27	Stjarnan W	68 : 88	Valur W
2024.01.04	Valur W	63 : 74	Stjarnan W
2023.10.18	Stjarnan W	71 : 76	Valur W