Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Premier League W Iceland · 4

Valur WHOME · -

75 : 732023.10.12 · 종료

Thor AK Akureyri WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME47.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY52.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +52.7%

VALUE EDGE+52.7%

FAIR ODDS1.90

GRADEA

Valur WAnalysis MetricsThor AK Akureyri W

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-3.00 Point MarginHigher is better -2.42

147.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.42

25.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.5 / 15

Prediction separation2.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

47.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

52.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Valur W

L · 91-83L · 61-67W · 58-75

Thor AK Akureyri W

W · 86-47L · 70-62W · 67-58

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.04.04	Thor AK Akureyri W	77 : 83	Valur W
2024.02.28	Valur W	90 : 84	Thor AK Akureyri W
2023.12.13	Thor AK Akureyri W	77 : 71	Valur W
2023.10.12	Valur W	75 : 73	Thor AK Akureyri W