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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League W Iceland · 3
Grindavik WHOME · -
91 : 832023.10.09 · 종료
Valur WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +50.9%
VALUE EDGE+50.9%
FAIR ODDS1.97
GRADEA
Grindavik WAnalysis MetricsValur W
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+11.67 Point MarginHigher is better -3.00
163.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 147.33
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.1 / 15
Prediction separation0.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
50.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
49.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Grindavik W
W · 47-93W · 81-71
Valur W
L · 61-67W · 58-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.04.10Valur W72 : 90Grindavik W
2026.04.05Grindavik W79 : 73Valur W
2026.04.01Valur W55 : 59Grindavik W
2026.02.12Grindavik W66 : 89Valur W
2023.12.06Valur W72 : 93Grindavik W
2023.10.09Grindavik W91 : 83Valur W