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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League W Iceland · 3
Thor AK Akureyri WHOME · -
86 : 472023.10.09 · 종료
Snaefell WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME79.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 77.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +79.9%
VALUE EDGE+79.9%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEA
Thor AK Akureyri WAnalysis MetricsSnaefell W
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-2.42 Point MarginHigher is better -15.58
163.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 139.75
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
79.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
20.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Thor AK Akureyri W
L · 70-62W · 67-58
Snaefell W
L · 47-93L · 109-37

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.13Thor AK Akureyri W84 : 72Snaefell W
2024.02.07Snaefell W53 : 76Thor AK Akureyri W
2023.12.06Snaefell W65 : 98Thor AK Akureyri W
2023.10.09Thor AK Akureyri W86 : 47Snaefell W