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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier league Iceland · Premier league - Quarter-finals
HaukarHOME · -
96 : 792015.04.03 · 종료
KeflavikAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 67.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +68.5%
VALUE EDGE+68.5%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEA
HaukarAnalysis MetricsKeflavik
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
+0.50 Point MarginHigher is better +4.50
168.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 190.67
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
68.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
31.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Haukar
W · 73-80W · 100-88L · 84-82W · 89-83L · 89-86
Keflavik
L · 73-80L · 100-88W · 84-82L · 89-83W · 95-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.01.21Keflavik96 : 88Haukar
2021.12.14Keflavik101 : 92Haukar
2015.04.03Haukar96 : 79Keflavik
2015.03.31Keflavik73 : 80Haukar
2015.03.28Haukar100 : 88Keflavik
2015.03.24Keflavik84 : 82Haukar
2015.03.13Haukar89 : 83Keflavik
2014.12.20Keflavik85 : 75Haukar
2014.02.28Keflavik81 : 90Haukar
2013.11.29Haukar63 : 68Keflavik