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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier league Iceland
IRHOME · -
78 : 792014.12.19 · 종료
StjarnanAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME35.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY64.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +64.7%
VALUE EDGE+64.7%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
IRAnalysis MetricsStjarnan
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-6.75 Point MarginHigher is better +7.33
171.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 186.33
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation12.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
35.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
64.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
IR
L · 76-68L · 82-83W · 90-85L · 87-82L · 86-92
Stjarnan
W · 87-80L · 103-91W · 85-79W · 93-76L · 94-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.03.13Stjarnan101 : 88IR
2014.12.19IR78 : 79Stjarnan
2014.02.18IR106 : 99Stjarnan
2013.11.22Stjarnan89 : 61IR
2013.02.22IR88 : 100Stjarnan
2012.11.10Stjarnan89 : 69IR