Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier league
Iceland
StjarnanHOME · -
85 : 792014.11.28 · 종료
ThorlAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME62.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+62.6%
VALUE EDGE+62.6%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEA
StjarnanAnalysis MetricsThorl
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+7.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-7.67
186.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
176.17
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation10.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Stjarnan
W · 93-76L · 94-85W · 93-85W · 81-92W · 103-78
Thorl
W · 100-90W · 94-109L · 94-96L · 90-85W · 80-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.12.10 | Thorl | 81 : 108 | Stjarnan |
| 2022.03.20 | Thorl | 85 : 93 | Stjarnan |
| 2015.02.28 | Thorl | 111 : 79 | Stjarnan |
| 2014.11.28 | Stjarnan | 85 : 79 | Thorl |
| 2014.01.17 | Stjarnan | 97 : 95 | Thorl |
| 2013.10.19 | Thorl | 95 : 76 | Stjarnan |
| 2013.02.09 | Thorl | 105 : 100 | Stjarnan |
| 2012.10.26 | Stjarnan | 77 : 62 | Thorl |