Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier league
Iceland
StjarnanHOME · -
103 : 782014.10.24 · 종료
GrindavikAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.8%
VALUE EDGE+56.8%
FAIR ODDS1.76
GRADEA
StjarnanAnalysis MetricsGrindavik
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+7.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.67
186.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.00
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.5 / 15
Prediction separation5.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Stjarnan
L · 83-74L · 80-85L · 89-90W · 76-95L · 68-94
Grindavik
W · 106-75L · 97-77L · 79-87L · 87-58W · 79-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.23 | Grindavik | 98 : 92 | Stjarnan |
| 2026.01.12 | Stjarnan | 100 : 77 | Grindavik |
| 2021.12.13 | Stjarnan | 85 : 76 | Grindavik |
| 2015.01.23 | Grindavik | 104 : 92 | Stjarnan |
| 2014.10.24 | Stjarnan | 103 : 78 | Grindavik |
| 2014.02.14 | Stjarnan | 90 : 94 | Grindavik |
| 2013.11.15 | Grindavik | 87 : 67 | Stjarnan |
| 2013.04.29 | Grindavik | 79 : 74 | Stjarnan |
| 2013.04.26 | Stjarnan | 82 : 88 | Grindavik |
| 2013.04.23 | Grindavik | 89 : 101 | Stjarnan |