Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier league
Iceland · Premier league - Semi-finals
KR BasketHOME · -
76 : 952014.04.11 · 종료
StjarnanAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.9%
VALUE EDGE+74.9%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADES
KR BasketAnalysis MetricsStjarnan
91.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+12.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.33
184.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
186.33
87.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
KR Basket
W · 68-94W · 101-84W · 85-99W · 98-76W · 74-86
Stjarnan
L · 68-94W · 93-94W · 98-89W · 81-87L · 61-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.02.08 | Stjarnan | 84 : 100 | KR Basket |
| 2025.03.20 | KR Basket | 94 : 91 | Stjarnan |
| 2015.03.06 | Stjarnan | 100 : 103 | KR Basket |
| 2014.12.05 | KR Basket | 103 : 91 | Stjarnan |
| 2014.04.14 | Stjarnan | 89 : 90 | KR Basket |
| 2014.04.11 | KR Basket | 76 : 95 | Stjarnan |
| 2014.04.07 | Stjarnan | 68 : 94 | KR Basket |
| 2014.01.31 | Stjarnan | 75 : 78 | KR Basket |
| 2013.11.05 | KR Basket | 88 : 84 | Stjarnan |
| 2013.03.08 | KR Basket | 75 : 87 | Stjarnan |