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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier league Iceland · Premier league - Semi-finals
StjarnanHOME · -
68 : 942014.04.07 · 종료
KR BasketAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME25.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY74.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 72.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +74.3%
VALUE EDGE+74.3%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADEA
StjarnanAnalysis MetricsKR Basket
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 91.7%
+7.33 Point MarginHigher is better +12.33
186.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.00
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
25.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
74.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Stjarnan
W · 93-94W · 98-89W · 81-87L · 61-84W · 70-107
KR Basket
W · 101-84W · 85-99W · 98-76W · 74-86W · 101-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.02.08Stjarnan84 : 100KR Basket
2025.03.20KR Basket94 : 91Stjarnan
2015.03.06Stjarnan100 : 103KR Basket
2014.12.05KR Basket103 : 91Stjarnan
2014.04.14Stjarnan89 : 90KR Basket
2014.04.11KR Basket76 : 95Stjarnan
2014.04.07Stjarnan68 : 94KR Basket
2014.01.31Stjarnan75 : 78KR Basket
2013.11.05KR Basket88 : 84Stjarnan
2013.03.08KR Basket75 : 87Stjarnan