Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier league
Iceland · Premier league - Quarter-finals
StjarnanHOME · -
98 : 892014.03.25 · 종료
KeflavikAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 58.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.8%
VALUE EDGE+60.8%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEA
StjarnanAnalysis MetricsKeflavik
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+7.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.50
186.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
190.67
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation9.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Stjarnan
W · 81-87L · 61-84W · 70-107W · 82-117W · 93-88
Keflavik
L · 81-87W · 84-89L · 94-83L · 81-90L · 90-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.13 | Stjarnan | 113 : 94 | Keflavik |
| 2015.01.16 | Stjarnan | 99 : 92 | Keflavik |
| 2014.10.21 | Keflavik | 83 : 74 | Stjarnan |
| 2014.03.29 | Keflavik | 93 : 94 | Stjarnan |
| 2014.03.25 | Stjarnan | 98 : 89 | Keflavik |
| 2014.03.22 | Keflavik | 81 : 87 | Stjarnan |
| 2013.10.11 | Stjarnan | 63 : 88 | Keflavik |
| 2013.03.29 | Stjarnan | 82 : 77 | Keflavik |
| 2013.03.25 | Keflavik | 100 : 87 | Stjarnan |
| 2013.03.22 | Stjarnan | 102 : 86 | Keflavik |