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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier league Iceland · Premier league - Quarter-finals
KR BasketHOME · -
98 : 762014.03.21 · 종료
SnaefellAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME79.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 77.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +79.2%
VALUE EDGE+79.2%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADES
KR BasketAnalysis MetricsSnaefell
91.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+12.33 Point MarginHigher is better -6.92
184.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 177.92
87.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

77/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
79.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
20.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
KR Basket
W · 74-86W · 101-78W · 90-76W · 78-99W · 90-89
Snaefell
L · 84-89L · 83-81W · 106-76L · 93-88W · 86-89

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.02.13KR Basket89 : 83Snaefell
2014.11.15Snaefell91 : 99KR Basket
2014.03.28KR Basket101 : 84Snaefell
2014.03.24Snaefell85 : 99KR Basket
2014.03.21KR Basket98 : 76Snaefell
2014.01.24KR Basket99 : 93Snaefell
2013.10.25Snaefell84 : 99KR Basket
2013.02.08Snaefell110 : 104KR Basket
2012.10.26KR Basket63 : 104Snaefell