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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier league Iceland
ValurHOME · -
82 : 1172014.03.08 · 종료
StjarnanAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME29.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY70.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK AWAY 73.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +70.4%
VALUE EDGE+70.4%
FAIR ODDS1.42
GRADEB
ValurAnalysis MetricsStjarnan
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+10.17 Point MarginHigher is better +7.33
166.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 186.33
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
7.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
29.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
70.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Valur
L · 86-89L · 91-84L · 79-90L · 106-92L · 89-100
Stjarnan
W · 93-88L · 106-99L · 90-94L · 76-67L · 75-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.09Valur90 : 77Stjarnan
2014.03.08Valur82 : 117Stjarnan
2013.12.06Stjarnan90 : 80Valur