Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Icelandic Cup
Iceland · Icelandic Cup - Semi-finals
ThorlHOME · -
90 : 852022.03.17 · 종료
ValurAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.4%
VALUE EDGE+73.4%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADEB
ThorlAnalysis MetricsValur
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-5.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.17
177.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.00
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Thorl
W · 77-79W · 86-111L · 88-76L · 85-96L · 97-85
Valur
W · 72-71W · 68-78W · 94-84L · 101-78L · 82-117
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.03.17 | Thorl | 90 : 85 | Valur |
| 2014.02.15 | Thorl | 91 : 84 | Valur |
| 2013.11.15 | Valur | 97 : 89 | Thorl |